Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1179.102396 1333.952038 1504.308541 1706.097648 1939.192455 2200.693516 2517.256024
2025-11-16 943.795615 1151.742101 1401.059492 1724.017552 2134.205454 2641.655288 3322.921345
2025-11-23 814.885542 1045.601458 1338.589908 1741.963626 2289.135445 3014.510381 4063.962598
2025-11-30 729.620964 974.720383 1300.795646 1772.725827 2448.892013 3399.107481 4864.940776
2025-12-07 640.093074 883.464804 1219.724264 1726.809130 2487.162978 3609.460907 5438.264500
2025-12-14 568.187801 806.636611 1147.095076 1679.340247 2510.209807 3791.640991 5985.988921
2025-12-21 506.775730 737.447588 1076.463406 1623.668336 2509.240845 3930.323403 6476.733251
2025-12-28 482.240738 719.760555 1079.394288 1679.468590 2687.947917 4375.551459 7549.711919
2026-01-04 453.899060 692.979408 1064.778188 1704.045076 2815.975182 4749.829501 8554.835966
2026-01-11 426.676606 665.092279 1045.088629 1716.874369 2923.495324 5099.618558 9568.936552
2026-01-18 401.977679 638.842642 1025.150582 1726.206738 3024.314194 5448.058893 10636.298503
2026-01-25 385.835412 625.120256 1024.441166 1768.427105 3189.106372 5937.210642 12075.967747
2026-02-01 367.028619 605.902117 1013.571683 1792.986814 3327.330942 6401.784003 13570.698927
2026-02-08 348.567840 585.800092 999.438591 1810.162578 3453.899092 6862.825621 15155.190364
2026-02-15 332.162401 567.828437 987.251722 1829.217384 3585.773164 7353.113243 16907.784625
2026-02-22 319.047883 554.610379 982.398672 1861.733370 3749.208831 7936.117566 19013.575234
2026-03-01 296.672322 522.623574 939.618521 1813.194561 3731.835201 8105.951873 20086.657324
2026-03-08 276.149149 492.582364 898.106791 1763.024955 3704.486572 8247.826301 21114.044207
2026-03-15 256.405400 462.641687 854.486346 1704.199231 3650.516806 8317.772756 21956.363079
2026-03-22 251.319475 460.473149 865.356235 1763.160586 3876.731700 9116.420370 25102.620393
2026-03-29 242.997616 451.338656 861.423913 1789.134036 4027.682165 9747.227223 27901.039012
2026-04-05 233.985902 440.174393 852.406526 1802.693689 4149.898802 10321.934280 30670.455079
2026-04-12 225.226579 428.898994 842.247202 1812.557822 4264.076790 10893.644396 33582.919869